gecko_x2's blog

gold:oil ratio (updated)

Image by AZRainman - http://arizonarainman.blogspot.com/

 

Just a random quote from 'texarcana' at kitco's forums, but an interesting observation.. I haven't verified the numbers though

 

"seems to me the oil suppliers will gladly exchange 14 barrels of oil for 1 ounce of gold.
1971 $42 gold ---$3 oil 14:1
1980 $ 850 gold--- $60 oil 14:1
2009 $1120 gold ---$80 oil 14:1
2010 $2000 gold --- $142 oil 14:1
2012 $3500 gold ---- $250 oil 14:1
when the ratio goes below 14:1 the oil produces get a bonus, when the ratio goes above 15:1, they get pissed off and start cutting oil supplies."
 

Source: https://www.kitcomm.com/showpost.php?p=832256&postcount=4462

 

Update: 06 November: Have a look at the prices on Gold Future contracts at the CME: 

Dec 2010         Jun 2011          Dec 2011
1100.1              
1111.8               1121.0

Now i'm no expert on futures, but those are pretty interesting numbers.. (!)

This would according to the thesis above give us $80.071 oil, and checking what it's

trading at as i'm writing this.. WTI Crude just dropped from 80.060 to 79.950 (06 Nov. 08:39 am EET)

Amazing!

Source:  http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/metals/precious/gold.html

 

Image by  AZRainman : Photoshop Satire 

Some Rights Reserved 

 
 

Gold Market Reaching The Breaking Point

Thursday, October 29, 2009
by Eric deCarbonnel
 

Investors emptying COMEX warehouses

In order to secure gold at the lowest possible price, US investors are turning to the complex, lengthy process of taking delivery of gold futures contracts. By buying gold contracts in deliverable months and wait for them to expire, sophisticated investors are emptying COMEX warehouses. The incredible hassle of trying to pry gold out of Comex warehouses appeals to investors because no other place in the US offers a price equal to the Comex exchange. Nothing even comes close.
 

 

-Nuff said, go read

 

Source: http://www.marketskeptics.com/2009/10/gold-market-reaching-breaking-point.html 

Surge Leads to Higher Premiums on Gold Type Coins

By Harry Miller, Coins Magazine
November 02, 2009

Gold, silver and platinum have surged over the past month and we are again seeing higher premiums on nearly all older U.S. gold type coins, especially the Type 1 $20 Liberty issue. Those of you who collect the modern issues of Eagles will enjoy the current higher premiums. This is especially true on the proof issues and there is just simply a stampede going on in the gold Buffalo herd. Dealers are continually complaining there is not enough product available to satisfy customer needs.

 

Source: http://www.numismaster.com/ta/numis/Article.jsp?ad=article&ArticleId=8158 

FINAL WARNING

Dear Doomers,

 

This one seems to have slipped through the scanners and is dated October 22nd, but seeing how time is constantly going tick-tock, it might be the only thing you have time to read before you should be grabbing any toxic paper currency u can find and rush to the nearest gold bullion shop. Remember that turning all that useless junk you really don't need for day to day living first into toxic paper, and then into gold bullion TAKES TIME, infact it can easily take days to weeks, TIME YOU MIGHT NOT HAVE ANYMORE.
 

FINAL WARNING
October 22nd, 2009 by Egon von Greyerz, GoldSwitzerland
 

The severe problems that the world economy and financial system have experienced in the last couple of years will seem like a walk in the park compared to what will happen in the next couple of years.

For the investors who haven’t yet protected themselves, let us tell you that you are very lucky. You are lucky that you have been given yet one more chance to protect yourself. But let us be very clear, you have a very short time to put your house in order. Because during the month of November the events that we outlined in our Newsletter “A Shocking Fall” are going to start to unfold.

 

Dollar down and Gold up

Starting in November, we are likely to see the dollar falling precipitously and stockmarkets turning down after this bear market correction. We will see the bond market falling and especially long term interest rates going up. And most importantly gold will start to move up very strongly.

We have since 2002 advised our investors to protect themselves by buying physical gold and store it outside the banking system. Gold has since gained more than 250%. Also, in the last ten years the Dow Jones has moved down 80% against gold. Most world stockmarkets have had similar falls against gold. So in real terms the stockmarket has been a very poor investment. We expect the Dow to fall another 90% against gold in the next few years.

 

The party is over

Earlier this year we said that a 50% correction is totally normal in a bear market and that would take the Dow to 10,300 which could happen by early November. Stockmarket investors have been given an incredible gift in the last seven months but the party is now over. Most investors will not realise this until it is too late. They will hang on to their shares for a long time yet and follow the market most of the way down. In our view, the only stocks worth holding are precious metals stocks which are grossly undervalued and will benefit from a very strong rise in gold.

The next few years will be devastating for the world economy, for the financial system and for private lives. We have outlined this scenario in our newsletters and commentaries for a long time.

 

The majority of people are short sighted and believe the economy has improved because governments have printed trillions of Dollars, Pounds, Euros etc that they call money. But let us be very clear, you can’t abolish poverty by printing paper and you can’t solve the world’s enormous debt problem by exacerbating it. These debts will never be repaid with normal money, not today and not tomorrow – NEVER!

Still time for protection

In the next few weeks until some time in November, investors can still protect themselves by selling their stockmarket investments and buying gold at reasonable prices.

 

Cont: http://goldswitzerland.com/index.php/final-warning/

 

 

Syndicate content